Thursday, 18 April 2013

18 points: The magic number for Chelsea FC - We Ain't Got No History

Any mixture of points gained by Chelsea and points dropped by among their rivals adding up to 18 may assure the Blues Champions League football next time Arsenal's pull with Everton recently put Chelsea right into a decent position so far as finishing top 4 in the Premier League is concerned. Chelsea now have some breathing room over both of their sensible challengers due to their point total and the game( s) they have at your fingertips. So precisely what is it likely to take to ensure that Chelsea finish above their opponents? We're going to use something common generally in most American sports here, the thought of a number. In Chelsea's case, the magic number in order to guarantee a top 4 end is now an extremely achievable 18 points. The tiebreaker between Arsenal and Chelsea is far to near predict at this point, so offering a above the Gunners will signify Chelsea will have to finish with increased factors. Since it stands, Arsenal winning every one of their 5 remaining accessories might see them completing on 75 points. Thus, 18 points from Chelsea (and 76 points) make us mathematically uncatchable*. *That number might really be dropped to 17 if we can create some breathing room predicated on goal differential. Collection are at +29 to the +28. Is another 8-0 a lot to ask? Tottenham have been in a bit of an alternative situation. The gap in target differential between ourselves and Spurs is quite huge, undoubtedly large enough that there is fundamentally no chance the gap is made up by Tottenham without Chelsea falling apart. Tottenham are on 58 points with 6 left to play, leaving them a total of 76 points. When assuming that the tiebreaker belongs to the Blues, that again leaves Chelsea ready where 18 points guarantees them a finish over Spurs. All 18 of those factors in order to guarantee a high 4 finish to Chelsea don't have to be acquired by Chelsea. Must both Spurs and Arsenal each win all of their remaining features, Chelsea would need to get maximum details from 6 of 7 to earn a Champions League place. Every place that Arsenal or Spurs fail to make throughout the work in lowers that magic number though, reducing Chelsea's magic number by the number of items they drop. As an example, let us assume that Chelsea handle wins both tonight and Sunday over Liverpool. Let us also assume that Arsenal defeat Fulham on Saturday, with Spurs having a reduction at the hands of Manchester City. Within our example, Chelsea took 6 extra points and dropped their magic number against both Spurs and Arsenal to only 12. Because no points were dropped by Arsenal in this hypothetical, it remains at 12 in terms of they're involved. Tottenham dropped 3 points in this example however, meaning we could knock 3 additional points away from our number, dropping it to just 9. Demonstrably there's still plenty of work to be performed before Chelsea could easily think they'll be returning to the Champions League next year. Having said that, both Spurs and Arsenal must however fall some things. While Chelsea have the more difficult run-in, it's most certainly not hard enough that 12 or more factors would be unreasonable to anticipate. If every thing pauses Chelsea's way this week, we might just about wrap up next place by the finish of this weekend. One step at a time although, for now we must take 3 factors against Fulham.

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