Monday 13 May 2013

Fantasy Baseball Mailbag: Adam LaRoche, Kevin Slowey, And DL Spots

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In a 12-team roto league, I recently picked up Drew Stubbs but he is already making me nervous. I have equal depth at OF and 1B. I can pick up Adam LaRoche (I just dropped him last week), Mitch Moreland, Nate Schierholtz or Pablo Ozuna. Should I pick up one of these guys?

LaRoche is the guy to add. All of these players have some flaws, but LaRoche is the most consistent of the group. Often times people want upside when a consistent player that you can pencil in for reliable numbers like a LaRoche is fine. Outside of last season, LaRoche is a perennial slow first-half player that gets going in the second half. LaRoche is off to a slow start, batting .196 with 11 runs, three home runs and 10 RBIs. He is striking out more than usual with a 30 percent rate. He is drawing walks with 12 percent walk rate. LaRoche has a .262 BABIP, which is below his career mark of .307 so an increase in average is likely. The Nationals lineup is good and has yet to click. There should be plenty of opportunities for LaRoche to drive in runs. LaRoche had a career year with 33 home runs and 100 RBIs in 2012 but had at least 25 home runs and 83 RBIs in three consecutive seasons prior and I expect those types of numbers again. LaRoche owners need to stay patient. He is already heating up going 9-for-17 in his last six games.

I am in a 12-team 5×5 dynasty roto league. I am trying to upgrade pitching this year and for the future. I have an opportunity to drop Jorge De La Rosa and add Chris Tillman. I am thinking this is a wash at minimum for this year and Tillman has the greater long term upside. Would you do it?

I would and agree with your thinking. Tillman is just 25 and is starting to come around. In 15 starts last season, Tillman went 9-3 over 86 innings with a 2.93 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, 6.91 K/9 and 2.51 BB/9. They key for him is limiting the walks. He hasn't been as good so far in 2013. In 40 2/3 innings, he has a 3.76 ERA, 1.38 WHIP, 6.64 K/9 and 3.98 BB/9. The numbers are skewed because he was shaky in his first three starts and the last four starts have been much better. In 26 2/3 innings over that time, he has allowed 19

hits, six earned runs, 10 walks and struck out 15. I really like his breaking pitches and he will improve. De La Rosa is 31 and coming off Tommy John surgery in 2011 that limited him to just 10 2/3 innings in 2012. De La Rosa has lost velocity and isn't getting the swings and misses he once did. He also plays in a tough home ballpark in Coors Field. Make the move.

This is more of a commissioner question. I was thinking of switching league (at the end of year) to unlimited DL spots. How does that work? How do you prevent people from picking up every DL player not on a roster?

Good question and this will be informative for everybody. I have no issue with unlimited DL spots. I play in two leagues with them, some leagues with one to three DL spots and others with none. I believe there should at least be a few. Some teams will get unlucky with injuries and they shouldn't be penalized with dead spots or forced to drop good players. The one thing I don't like about unlimited slots for DL players is what you addressed. People can take advantage of that by adding guys like Colby Lewis, Brandon Beachy and Corey Luebke right now and stashing them without any consequence. The way to avoid this is institute a rule in the league constitution. In my league, we have three DL spots and I still use a rule. The rule is if you add a player who is currently on the disabled list, for example Lewis, you can't place him in a DL slot. There might be a team that has no players on the disabled list and it's unfair for them to just add three players on the disabled list and then place them in a DL slot. If you're in that situation and can take advantage of the rules, then do it. In my league, the player can be added but he must be on your active roster, which means a reserve spot on the bench and not a DL spot. If someone decided to draft an injured player, then they can put him on the disabled list. When they add one in free agency, he cannot be placed in a DL slot.

If I have to select one, it is Slowey. He won't continue to be this good and he won't win many games on a team with a pathetic offense, but he's still the best of this group. I always liked Slowey because of his excellent control and he has decent strikeout rates. He is a fly ball pitcher and that's a good fit for him in a big ballpark in Miami. Slowey has allowed just three home runs in 44 2/3 innings despite a 43 percent fly ball rate. Four of his starts have been at home where he has allowed two home runs and one came on the road where he pitched at Philadelphia, Cincinnati and Washington. Slowey has a 1.81 ERA, 0.94 WHIP, 7.25 K/9 and 1.61 WHIP. I want no part of Hanson. The Braves are a smart organization and once they traded Hanson, it sent up a huge red flag. He has shoulder issues and has changed his delivery to compensate. The 3.86 ERA doesn't show how bad he has been. A 5.46 K/9, 1.93 HR/9, 5.63 FIP and an average fastball of 87.9 all indicate a steep decline is coming. Correia is off to a good start like he did in recent seasons. He doesn't get a lot of strikeouts and will finish with an ERA over four.

Jemele Hill I'll try to stop being black, but it wont work RT @kA_Millli: .@jemelehill is it ever not about being black for you? Or should I say Af-Am?

Andy Katz Happy Mother's Day to my mom/all the moms who may have a tough day in a post-Boston, Newtown world+all the moms of lost military personnel.

Via: Mourinho: "I congratulate the boat"

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